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Environmental Drivers of Vector-borne Diseases Symposium

Environmental Drivers of Vector-borne Diseases Symposium

Environmental Drivers of Vector-borne Diseases Symposium

162 - Averting Useless Models

Thursday, March 26, 2026
1:45 PM - 1:57 PM PDT
Location: B113
Abstract: When it comes to predictive and forecasting models, vector-borne diseases are at the forefront. However, we are lagging at our ability to capture the dynamics which can directly inform vector control efforts. To understand this gap, we conducted in depth interviews using a geographically targeted convenience sample with 26 individuals (US: 12; EU: 14) from organizations involved in vector control operations between July and December 2023. Our goal was to understand barriers to model use and uptake. Interviewees expressed a strong belief that models could be useful, but few reported that they use said models to inform their surveillance and control activities. A mismatch in spatial and temporal scale between model outputs and operational decisions or general lack of accessibility were the most commonly provided reasons. The disconnect between models and users can be improved by allowing time and resources to build collaborative relationships, by acknowledging knowledge all members bring, and by ensuring clear communication and mutual respect. As modelers shift their focus to align vector-borne disease models with operational needs, their uptake may increase.